You’ve read all of your free items this month. To register, get added benefits and unlimited access to articles, Become a Member. Already a Member? Sign in. Advertising Age Article Abstract Here's How Nate Silver Did With His Oscar Predictions For Starters, He Failed to Predict That Jennifer Lawrence Would Trip on the Stairs By Simon Dumenco, Published on February 25, 2013 1 Want more Access, Content & Connections? Upgrade to Membership. We are glad you are enjoying Advertising Age. To get uninterrupted access and additional benefits, become a member today. Become a Member Already a member? Log in.