The Children's Advertising Review Unit guidelines expand self-regulatory scrutiny to unfair advertising. In the past, CARU was restricted to deceptive advertising (although it stretched that jurisdiction considerably). With the party shift in Congress, the path is clear for 2007 to be the year Democrats get their wish and the FTC returns to engineering fundamental changes under the broad strokes and vagaries of what it considers is fair, regardless of the truth of what is said. Wither the First Amendment? Maybe.
2 The year of the skinny kid
Self-regulation has spoken. In November, top marketers in the fast-food and carbonated-beverage industries pledged support of self-regulatory rules embracing more-healthful advertising messages. But it won't be enough for the pundits. Not surprisingly, the Center for Science in the Public Interest, Consumer Alert and others wasted no time attacking the pledge. So the battle lines are drawn for a heavyweight fight over welterweight kids. And we'll all have ringside seats.
3 The slippery slope ices up
You've heard the old saw of the slippery slope many times-if you regulate one industry and suppress its freedom to communicate, it's just a matter of time before another industry receives the brunt of censorship. First tobacco. Then alcohol. Then "indecency" in programming after Nipplegate. Then children's advertising and obesity. What's in store for 2007? Perhaps controls on MySpace, Facebook and anywhere else kids share thoughts. The new caveat? Sellers be scared. Be very scared.
4 Virtual worlds and virtual laws
In 2006, we saw the Matrix morph from motion picture to reality. Second Life. Avatars. Virtual Laguna Beach. And guess what? There's more to come. We've even seen the first lawsuit filed over a botched sale of virtual real estate. As consumers continue their flight from reality, friction will rise over virtual rights. Virtual lawyers are only a breath or two away, provided, of course, all those virtual dollars can be converted into real cash.
5 Privacy on a pedestal
Nothing spurs congressional activity like right-to-privacy issues. Legislators and regulators can't stop enacting restrictive rules that make it more difficult to target consumers. Perhaps House Energy and Commerce Chairman Joe Barton, soon to be part of the congressional minority, put the congressional vendetta best when he said, "It is time to put privacy of the people ahead of the needs of business." Really? So how far will Congress go in 2007? Very far.
6 Hispanic advertising comes of age
While regulators weren't paying attention, Hispanic advertising became a multibillion-dollar industry. But in 2006, the FTC began wondering just what all those Hispanic marketers were saying. So the FTC formed a task force to take a hard look at advertising and marketing practices in the Hispanic community. 2007 will be the year the Feds will take aim and bring down those taking advantage of a heretofore unregulated market. Usted habla espa -- ol?
7 Ever-dwindling agency compensation
In 2007, agreements between advertisers and advertising agencies will continue their seemingly never-ending journey into an abyss of confusion. Pressures from CMOs bent on proving ROI will only add to the turmoil. No end to the insanity is in sight in 2007. Advertisers will remain entranced with the power of knowing what makes an agency profitable, cost consultants will continue to knock down agency compensation and agencies will prolong their mourning over the death of the big (profitable) idea.
8 Take two but don't call me in the morning
The heat on prescription-drug advertising will continue to rise. Expect serious moves to prohibit or restrict advertising for the first year following approval to market a drug. And if the First Amendment gets in the way, you'll see the FDA forcing companies to voluntarily agree to a one-year blackout in exchange for approval, something few companies will be able to resist. Also look for attacks on sponsorship deals at sports venues where TV coverage hits children and family viewing.
9 Prelude to Beijing
Next year marks the Pan American Games, this installment taking place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. This is a prelude to Beijing because the Pan American Games might become all about ambush marketing. Will the organizers in Brazil use the aggressive policing the Italians showed at the Turin games? Brazil will be in the cross hairs of sponsors who demand protection from renegade competitors. So Rio's games are a precursor to the Beijing Olympics, where ambushers may find unprecedented gold.
10 Where the First Amendment doesn't reign
In 2007, watch for countries other than the United States to enact outright bans on advertising for controversial products. Throughout Europe, there are moves to ban children's advertising. South Africa is considering a ban on all ads for alcoholic beverages. Prescription-drug advertising is under attack in South America. Unlike the United States, the rest of the world doesn't really have the luxury of a robust First Amendment. Outright bans are entirely legal.