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Hillary vs. Barack: Who Had the Smartest Media Strategy?
Optimedia's Antony Young Rates the Campaigns
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| Antony Young | |
As we finally reached the end of the Democrat primaries and Sen. Barack Obama has been declared the presumptive nominee, it seems timely to analyze his and Sen. Hillary Clinton's respective media strategies. As we know, advertising isn't the only determiner of success. The product itself, the press and, no doubt, the sentiment of the consumer are all very influential factors. But with some $120 million spent by the two candidates in the past 12 months behind media and marketing activity, how did they perform?
Scores
Outstanding/Innovative
Highly effective
Good
Disappointing
Disaster
Direct-Response Media
Obama:

Clinton:
As has been widely documented, Obama's success has been due in part to his significantly larger media budget, spurred by an early sense of his being the "underdog," and subsequently more effective fundraising effort. Obama's camp prioritized new-media strategies early on, and relied on online activity and a social-network-style campaign website. After Clinton loaned her campaign $5 million, the Obama team responded by sending out an e-mail to its supporters the next day that read, "We need to match this quickly, can you help?" Within 24 hours respondents donated $8 million.
Media Cost Effectiveness/ROI
Obama:

Clinton:
Clearly, Obama had a larger budget and significantly outspent the Clinton camp. The relative closeness of the race showed that Clinton was able to deliver a big bang for her buck, and suggests that her campaign's marketing programs were more cost-effective. Obama, on the other hand, had to launch himself as a new brand with low or no consumer awareness. An example of the spending implications, early in Texas (a state which Clinton eventually won) her campaign claimed it was outspent 2-1 or 3-1. Obama's marketing efforts were able to narrow a 20-point lead to 4 points in the space of three to four months in a state in which the Clintons had been effectively campaigning the past 40 years.
TV Buying: Initial Branding Campaign
Obama:
Clinton:
Obama focused his TV ads around a core message -- change. Clinton's message has not been nearly as simple. In the six months leading up to the Iowa caucus, Obama focused much of his TV budget in Iowa, whereas Clinton spread her budget across many more states.
TV Buying: Tactical Campaigns
Clinton:
Obama:
Clinton was clearly more effective in her use of tactical TV activity. The "3 a.m." ad had an impact. The "small town bitter" ads prior to the Pennsylvania caucus worked for her and slowed Obama's momentum. Obama also lost points due to overspending in Pennsylvania, Texas and Ohio. Texas voters complained about saturation on the airwaves, with a poll by American Research Group revealing that 23% of Pennsylvania voters and 19% of Ohio voters claimed that excessive advertising by Obama helped lead them to supporting the other candidate. Hillary also used TV reasonably effectively to soften her image at an important time.
Search Strategy
Clinton:

Obama:
Obama outspent Hillary in paid search, but according to SEO specialist Michael Fleischner, Clinton out-ranked Obama on her use of organic search. On Google, Hillary ranked within the top 20 listings on 717 related political keyword phrases. By comparison, Obama only ranked in the top 20 for 201 political keywords searches.
Social Media
Obama:
Clinton:
At the start of her campaign, Clinton was featured heavily on blogs and was an early proponent of YouTube. Readers may remember the Clinton's spot set in the New Jersey diner that was a spoof on the series finale of "The Sopranos." However, Obama won the user-generated media channel decisively. Nearly three times more videos were uploaded by the Obama camp vs. Clinton camp, with 10 times more views. The viral impact of the "I got a crush ... on Obama" video by "Obama Girl" and its various spinoffs enjoyed more than 60 million views on YouTube. Obama also exploited having more than 1 million Facebook and MySpace friends. His use of social media has not just helped him to connect with younger voters, but has also been an incredibly efficient way of keeping him in the media.
Specialist or Niche Media
Obama:
Clinton: no rating
| ABOUT THE AUTHOR | |
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Antony Young is president of Optimedia U.S., a Publicis Groupe company. His first book, 'Profitable Marketing Communications' (Kogan Page) was published late last year. |
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One-to-one Media
Obama:

Clinton:
This is an area where Obama gained a competitive advantage. From his strategy to focus on grass-root events to gimmicks such as Chris Rock voice-mail messages and exploiting the 1 million-plus e-mail addresses that were acquired through a fundraising database, Obama's one-to-one media strategies helped him gain ground.
Media Innovations
Clinton:

Obama:
Hillary did some nice in-program "branded integrations" with appearances on Jon Stewart's "The Daily Show" and "Saturday Night Live." Plus, she bought a nicely targeted hour-long slot on the Hallmark Channel to broadcast the town hall meeting in the run up to Super Tuesday. Obama pulled off a coup to buy a spot in the Super Bowl across local Fox affiliates in 24 states.
Overall Media Communication-Planning Strategy
Obama:
Clinton:
Obama wins overall. His campaign's ability to create personal relationships via mass-marketing techniques characterized his media strategy. The employment of digital media channels -- notably his website, use of social media and e-mail marketing -- helped gain younger voter support and proved effective in fundraising, a critical factor in sustaining a heavy marketing effort. His early strategy to build his brand, and later deliver a more targeted broadcast media schedule that was supported by on-the-ground events and one to one media programs, helped him to build momentum in Iowa and allowed him to launch his campaign as a viable contender. Clinton's campaign was very effective in adjusting its strategies, and dollar-for-dollar outperformed Obama in traditional broadcast.
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It's his personal relationships that makes me worried Anthony.
There were also unique differences in how both candidates used Twitter. Obama did not use pronouns in his Tweets (i.e. "Enjoying the trip to St. Paul.") while Clinton usually did.
Nice summary...
At the heart of it, "I was checking out the Twitter profiles for Hillary and Obama today. Something really jumped out at me that showed with crystal clarity the difference between how they've approached those two targets. As of today, Hillary has 4,019 followers and Obama has 33,069 followers. That in its own right says a lot, but that's not the big stat.
The big stat is that Obama is following 33,960 people and Hillary is following 0. Literally 0. That's not an "o" that's a ZERO."
my help and doantions. All I kept getting were messages that she was to busy to read her e-mails, and links to click on for assistance.
Steve Schollnick
Schollnick Advertising
A successful media strategy should lend itself to shaping a candidates image and being able to deliver a message successfully across a range of different constituencies.
In the case of Obama, his media strategy failed to successfully reach women, Hispanics, blue-collars, and seniors. In the case of Clinton, her media strategy failed to successfully reach African Americans, white-collars, internet users, and younger people.
Each candidate won the votes they were supposed to win and lost the votes they were supposed to lose. In my opinion, that means the media strategy failed because it was incapable of changing specific constituencies' views.
Irrelevant.
Caucus/primary strategy by Obama's campaign? Brilliant?
He lost NY, NJ, PA, OH, CA, AZ, TX...didn't campaign in Florida and took his name off the ballot in Michigan...AND GOT THE NOMINATION.
He got as many delegates for winning the Idaho caucuses than Clinton got for winning a record turnout primary in Indiana.
This is genius. Of a high order.
When MoveOn.org held a green candidate session very early in the race, I gave my group of 13 viewers in my livingroom score cards based on gut reaction impressions, i.e. trust, smart, presidential, leader... and rate them 1-10.
After tallying all the answers, Clinton had 489 points and Obama had 490. But that wasn't the interesting part - under "trust" he scored 9.5, the highest for the group and she scored 7, the lowest for the group.
I sent a letter to the participants that we can forget Iowa and New Hampshire, we just picked the next president. If a group of die hard democrats in OC didn't trust Clinton a known performer, but did trust Obama, an unknown(over the other unknowns) then conservative types will like him as well.
When you start with trust, it's also easy to understand what made the social media hearts go twitterpat.
Let's forget the Content, if it even can be called such, of this ad and talk about the Form.
For a candidate who has to cope with the always already there issue of Age to present himself looking like nothing less than an apparition is astonishing. He appears flat-out ghostly; half his face just not there, the black suit against the black background effectively makes his body disappear as well, leaving only the haunting half-moon of his pale white face and the vertical streak of brightness emanating from his shirt peeking through the darkness.
Perhaps his campaign was shooting for the serious/somber look; and given the subject matter, such a look would be appropriate.
But they've leaped right over serious/somber and managed to produce a video that can only be described as macabre.
MyBlog: http://ProteanPerspectives.blogspot.com
Mr. Young raised some interesting points in his article, and I was hoping to touch base with him in order to get permission to cite his article in my dissertation, and also ask a few questions about how he gathered this information. I tried to email him via editor@adage.com but the email got bounced back to me. Any assistance would be greatly appreciated.
http://www.divinitymetrics.com/blog/?p=100
Amazing stuff and I know they did not put all their data down cause their platform looks crazy advanced but it gives you an idea just how close things got at the end.