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Administration, Congress Completely Fail Communications Test
Despite Fearmongering of Highest Order, Neither Can Sell Bailout
The editorial that ran in this week's print version of Advertising Age didn't take a position on the bailout. Because of deadlines, the editorial board didn't know what was in the package. But the editorial did note that congress was "facing angry constituents who want to know why they're on the hook for $700 billion worth of bad behavior by the fat cats on Wall Street. Yet so far no one seems to be making a concerted effort to answer them in a way accessible to the public. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Fed Chairman Bernanke were hauled before Congress to explain themselves and their plan. They didn't do such a great job of convincing the politicians. It's hard to see how they'll do a better job convincing voters."That was written five days before the bailout failed. And certain members of Congress and voters still aren't convinced.
Despite all the finger-pointing and blame-assigning going on, it's clear that neither Bush nor Congress has communicated clearly what this plan means. Democrats like to blame the Republicans for using fearmongering to win elections, but both sides in this case have done little more than stand before the American people and say, "Give us $700 billion dollars or everything is going to hell. You can trust us." That's no way to communicate the importance of the situation.
And neither is taking off for two days. Religious holiday or not, the move doesn't exactly scream "national emergency" -- and neither did Nancy Pelosi's little speech right before the vote yesterday. Seems to me that if you want to convince a hundred or so stubborn-minded House Republicans, you don't a) insult their party and then b) give your own party members free passes not to vote for the bill. And the Republicans, instead of whining that Pelosi called them names, could have explained a little more why -- aside from fear of losing their seats in November -- they're adamant this thing isn't passed.
The interesting thing is that if in the next two days the market rebounds a little, it will make voters think this is even less urgent that Bush, Paulson, Pelosi et. al are claiming.
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No one has been able to make a convincing argument and allay the fears of everybody. It is obvious that Bush's credibility is shot, and it is equally obvious that the two candidates do not to get into the mêlée by standing back and limiting their comments. This lack of leadership is the most disturbing.
Perhaps money should be pumped into the money markets and other stopgap measures until the next administration is determined. Then the work could begin in earnest. Being leery about Bush, and the bail-out is sensible, and is a strategy. Todays market upswing may demonstrate that the investment bankers problems that have been ongoing may be able to wait until the November election.
I don't think there was a communication problem as much as there has been a decisive leadership problem. And the reason for this is not communication, but instead a lame duck president and two change agents in the wings -- the person who should really make this milestone decision.