Consider Burger King's recent TV commercials. Two chicken
sandwiches for the price of one. What's the strategy? To get people
to switch from burgers to chicken sandwiches? Or perhaps to
position Burger King as a two-for-one place like Little Caesars did
decades ago? Instead of "Pizza. Pizza," perhaps we'll see "Chickie.
Chickie."
Even many high-end stores are joining the rush to slash
prices.
Lord & Taylor ... "60%-80% off. Save big all over the
store."
Saks Fifth Avenue ... "50% off already reduced prices for a
total of 65% to 70% off." Brooks Brothers ... "Savings up to 50%
off regular retail prices."
And what newspaper or magazine sells subscriptions at their full
prices? As The New York Times says, "Stay 100% informed, for 50%
less."
In fact, 50% off seems to be the magic discount. Our local
newspaper, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, runs a weekly column
under the heading "This week's big deals," the vast majority of
which are 50% off or "buy one, get one free" in everything from
soup to plastic surgery.
(Will Geico someday have to change its slogan to "15 minutes
will save you 15% or more on car insurance"? Saving 15% is so
yesterday.)
Like most marketing fads, the coupon craze is typical of the
follow-the-leader thinking rampant in the marketing community -- if
everybody is using coupons, then they must be an effective
marketing tool.
And they are -- in the short term. It's easy for a company to
check sales and redeemed coupons to decide if its couponing program
is financially successful or not. But what happens in the long
term? How many customers will a company lose tomorrow because they
stocked up on sale products today?
The end of a bubble is often marked by a spectacular development
and the coupon bubble reached a climax on Dec. 3, when news began
to circulate that Groupon had rejected a $6 billion buyout bid from
Google. A shade more than two years after its founding in November
2008, Groupon is worth in excess of $6 billion? Or maybe $15
billion, the figure quoted in a New York Times article about a
planned Groupon initial public offering.
The Groupon concept is to give consumers the opportunity to buy
coupons for something like 50% off regular prices. Then Groupon
splits coupon sales 50-50 with local retailers. Sounds like a great
deal for Groupon, a lesser deal for consumers and a road-to-ruin
deal for local retailers.
But hope springs eternal, of course. Presumably, all those
consumers who bought products and services for 50% off are going to
be happy to return to their local retailers and return to buy those
same products and services at full prices.
That's not going to happen. What is going to happen is that
those same consumers are going to go back to Groupon and wait for
the next 50%-off sale.
You see the same phenomenon happening across the retail
spectrum. Macy's, Kohl's and most department stores seem to have
ditched the idea of positioning their brands, instead relying on
discounts, sales and coupons to keep consumers coming back into
their stores.
Nobody is more sale-crazy than the folks at Jos. A. Bank.
They're creative, too. Every week or so, the clothing chain gives
its discount strategy a different twist. The latest Jos. A. Bank
twist: "50% off entire site. 60% off any second item. 70% off any
third item."
In marketing, the advantage is being different. When everyone
else is running sales, it's hard to be different by running a sale.
Today, a chain can be different by not running a sale. The biggest
beneficiary of the coupon craze is Walmart, which seldom runs sales
or issues its own coupons.
A recent Walmart ad compared the prices of featured products at
leading national drugstore chains with its own prices. Walmart
prices were "20% less, on average, than the leading national
drugstore chains."
Someday, some leading consumer-packaged-goods brand will run an
anti-coupon campaign that could shake up the industry. "No coupons.
Never issued them. Never will."
Notice how effective Southwest Airlines has been with its "No
change fees" and "No baggage fees" campaigns. As a matter of fact,
Southwest has been successful by doing almost everything just the
opposite of the strategies employed by the big carriers. No
first-class service. No international flights. No food. No pets. No
advance seating reservations. No inter-airline baggage exchange. No
corporate discounts.
One of the secrets of Zappos' success is the absence of deals;
it stands out as a paradigm of price stability. Consumers don't
have to worry that someone will buy the same shoes next week for
50% off.
As America becomes more monolithic, I think you'll see the value
of sales and coupons inevitably decline.
In the past, discount devices like coupons were effective in
broadening a brand's customer base, especially if a company could
keep them out of the hands of its regular users. With the advent of
social media, that's getting more difficult do. The word about
deals can spread rapidly.
Look at a website called Coupon Sherpa, a source for online
coupons, grocery coupons, printable coupons, restaurant coupons and
coupon codes to over 5,000 stores. Slogan: "Never pay full price
again!"
Is that the future of retailing in America? Only time will
tell.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
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Al Ries is
chairman of Ries
& Ries, an Atlanta-based marketing strategy firm he
runs with his daughter and partner Laura.
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