Nate Silver on the Electoral Map Surprises That Election Day Might Hold for Us

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In a brief appearance as a guest on Wednesday night's special live, post-debate edition of "The Late Show" on CBS, master poll interpreter Nate Silver, founder and editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight, told host Stephen Colbert that "It's not looking too good for Donald J. Trump," laying out Hillary Clinton's advantage in the polls heading into the third and final debate.

The segment closed out with Silver's thoughts about some surprises that might be in store on Election Day: "Right now we're looking at a lot of traditionally red states like Texas and Arizona -- those states are actually closer than Pennsylvania or Colorado right now. That's what happens when you're down by 7 points. It kind of swings pretty uniformly. And believe it or not, Trump is underperforming among the traditional GOP suburban base. So he gets some of them -- but if you only get 80% of Republican voters in a country where you should get 92%, then that means you can lose a state like Arizona, for example."

Simon Dumenco, aka Media Guy, is an Ad Age editor-at-large. You can follow him on Twitter @simondumenco.

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