The outlook for TV ad revenue moving into next quarter is grim due to the coronavirus pandemic, according comments made by the top brass at media conglomerates during earnings reports this week.
The lack of live sports, coupled with a pullback in spending by some key advertising categories, will pressure ad revenues at TV network groups in the near term.
Roku said on Thursday evening that it saw a greater number of ad cancellations than normal. Still, it said it did see more advertisers move to the platform from traditional TV, as it has benefitted from a surge in OTT usage while people are social distancing.
“Spending will come back, but it’s likely in our view not going to come back in the way that it had been,” Roku CEO Anthony Wood said in a conference call. “Even in the case of sports, we think that this disruption will force a reassessment broadly by marketers.”
Earlier in the day, ViacomCBS CEO Bob Bakish declined to predict how much domestic ad sales revenue would be impacted in the second quarter, but said “it’s not pretty.”
Ad revenue declined 19 percent to $2.48 billion thanks in part to the cancellation of the NCAA “March Madness” tournament and having the Super Bowl in 2019. Excluding this impact, ad revenue would have increased 2 percent. Profit tumbled to $516 million, or 84 cents a share, compared with $1.96 billion, or $3.20 a year ago. Still, adjusted earnings of $1.13 a share beat analysts’ estimates of 95 cents. Revenue declined 6 percent to $6.7 billion.
“It’s not as bad as what Fox said, that’s for sure, but it’s not pretty either,” Bakish said. But he does expect to see some improvement in the second half of the year, with PGA expected to resume its season in June.
“At this point, we know there will be a significant impact on ad sales in Q2. But based on what we’re seeing today … we believe there will be an improvement in advertising in the third and fourth quarters, assuming businesses begin to reopen at scale,” Bakish said.