ROI Miss: Gun-Control Groups Outspent Opponents 7 to 1 on TV
In the year after the massacre at Sandy Hook Elementary School in Newtown, Conn., gun-control groups spent $14.1 million on TV advertising. According to Kantar Media's CMAG, that gave such groups a seven to one advantage over gun-rights organizations, which only spent $1.9 million.
At the same time, gun-rights groups, led by the National Rifle Association, spent about $6.2 million on lobbying instead of advertising, according to a study by the Sunlight Foundation.
The gun-rights groups may have had the better tactic -- especially in a quiet election year.
White House efforts to strengthen gun-control laws went nowhere. Watered-down legislation to broaden FBI background checks of gun buyers failed in the Senate. And the GOP-controlled House did not even consider addressing gun-control legislation.
"The return on the investment has been very weak," said Elizabeth Wilner of Kantar Media. "When you are doing advocacy advertising you are looking for Congress to pass something."
And things weren't that much better on the state level. The New York Times reported that about 1,500 gun-related bills had been introduced in state legislatures since the Newtown tragedy and 109 of them became law. Nearly two-thirds of the new laws actually ease restrictions and expand the rights of gun owners, according to the Times. Most of those bills were approved in states controlled by Republicans.
Gun-control groups did win victories in some states, including Connecticut, New York and Colorado, where the legislature and governorship are controlled by Democrats.
Michael Bloomberg, the outgoing New York City mayor and a billionaire, was responsible for most of the spending on the gun-control side. Founder of Mayors Against Gun Violence, Mr. Bloomberg budgeted $12 million for an ad campaign this year. The effort was kicked off with celebrity-heavy ads demanding a plan but became more targeted as the year went on, even reaching out to "responsible gun owners."
But not all of Mr. Bloomberg's efforts were aimed at swaying Congress. He used his PAC, Independence USA, in an attempt to elect supporters of gun control and defeat gun-rights candidates. In this, Mr. Bloomberg may have had a better return on his investment.
Independence USA spent $2.2 million to defeat Debbie Halvorson, a pro-gun, former one-term House member who was vying to win a special election in Illinois' 2nd Congressional District. The PAC also spent more than $732,000 on ads to help Democrat Cory Booker, former mayor of Newark, N.J., win an October special election for Senate and $3.1 million in independent expenditures and direct contributions to help Democrat Terry McAuliffe, an outspoken proponent of stronger gun control, win the Virginia governor's race.
According to the Sunlight Foundation, gun-control broadcast advertising peaked last spring, especially in the days before and after the Senate held its decisive vote in April. At one point in May there were nearly 80 buys in the nation's top 50 broadcast markets, the foundation says.
As the grim Dec. 14 anniversary of the mass shooting that killed 20 first graders and six women approaches, broadcast ad buys by gun-control advocates have virtually stopped.
But Mayors Against Illegal Guns partnered with Moms Demand Action for Gun Sense to produce a commercial for cable that's running this week.
The ad, titled "No More Silence," shows a roomful of young children standing for a moment of silence to mark the Newtown anniversary.
A ticking clock can be heard throughout the ad. About halfway through the spot, a presumed shooter can be seen carrying a large duffel bag and walking towards a building that looks like a school.
"But with 26 more school shootings since that day," the narrator continues, "Ask yourself: Is silence what America needs right now?"
Near the end of the ad, the person pulls something out of the duffel bag and enters the building.
The Sunlight Foundation predicts gun-rights group, which have largely kept their powder dry as far as ad spending, will become much more active next year as mid-term elections near. The foundation also said, thanks in part to Mayor Bloomberg, "gun-control groups … are heading into 2014 with formidable campaign war chests."