A correction has been made in
this story. See below for details.
WASHINGTON (AdAge.com) -- The 2008 presidential race is shaping up
to be an embarrassment of riches -- and possibly headaches -- for
TV markets across the country.
TV Stations Prepare for $1 Billion Presidential Ad Onslaught
Amid mouthwatering visions of more than $1 billion in spending on
the most wide-open race since the TV era began, stations will have
to devise some way to handle the rush when close to two dozen
candidates come knocking at the same time. And some local TV
stations will look to the web for help.
Early start
Even though it's only January 2007 and basics such as the
once-set-in-stone primary and caucus schedule have yet to be
resolved, Evan Tracey, chief operating officer of TNSMI/Campaign
Media, said advertising could well start in force this summer, with
candidates trying to introduce or establish themselves early.
Despite the early start, time is still an issue. "This kind of
wide-open race is unprecedented, and there is only so much [ad]
time," said Jim Boyer, president and general manager of Des Moines
station WHO-TV, an NBC affiliate.
The stations face a potentially big problem. With a broad field of
candidates, many are likely to want their ads on the 11 p.m.
newscast on a particular night. And they'll be jostling for slots
with political action committees, independent groups and, oh yeah,
regular advertisers.
'A lot more candidate ads'
"My concern is if we get 20 of them at the same time," said Jeff
Bartlett, general manager of WMUR-TV, an ABC affiliate in
Manchester, N.H. "It's possible that we could end up with a lot
more candidate ads but a lot fewer issue ads" as candidates' ad
buys push political action committee ads into lesser time slots or
"down the food chain."
Still, many station managers aren't sure how extensive
ad-allocation problems will be, but they have made clear that while
they intend to treat political advertisers fairly, they also won't
be giving up regular advertisers.
The financial stakes are obviously high. Mr. Tracey estimated
spending on the presidential race alone over the next two years
could reach $1 billion. In 2004, $659 million was spent, with $314
million spent before the party conventions.
Mr. Tracey predicts that any ad-allocation problems at local
broadcast affiliates will be a boon for cable providers, cable
channels and newspapers.
But the broadcasters are doing more than wringing their hands.
Stations to boost websites
Many managers said stations will boost their websites, using them
to deliver additional news coverage and more ad availability.
Mr. Bartlett's WMUR-TV is already planning to extend its half-hour
broadcast chat with the candidates by adding a half-hour segment on
the web touted as the "conversation continues." The website will
also offer advertising possibilities and additional news content.
"The web will be a big help for us and for viewers," he said.
In South Carolina, Mel Stebbins, general manager of WIS-TV,
Columbia's NBC affiliate, said he anticipates being required to
limit the number of ads any one candidate can buy in a program to
allow everyone equal access.
'Going to be traffic managers'
"We are going to be traffic managers. You have to be careful.
Whatever we do, we will have to justify it to every damn campaign
there is."
But in the same state, Susan Teagle, general manager of WCIV-TV,
Charleston's ABC affiliate, said Democrats' decision to move the
state's caucus forward creates an unprecedented situation, and she
still isn't sure if the station will be inundated or candidates
will choose to spread their attention.
"I can't imagine South Carolina will get out of control," she
said.
In Iowa, Mr. Boyer said it remains to be seen whether many of the
candidates will have much money to spend, noting that two years
ago, despite a large number of candidates, only a handful of
Democrats actually spent significantly.
Early involvement unprecedented
In Reno, Nev., Lawson Fox, general manager of KTVN-TV, the CBS
affiliate, said the early involvement in the presidential races is
unprecedented, but he isn't too worried about allocating ads. (It
also helps that he doesn't have a Republican caucus to worry
about.)
"It's the kind of problem I like to have," he said.
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CORRECTION: An earlier version of
this story incorrectly reported the network affiliation for WHO-TV
in Des Moines. The station is an NBC affiliate, not a CBS
station.