More measurement problems
Alongside iOS 17, Apple teased SKAdNetwork 5.0—the latest update to its measurement platform. Under 5.0, companies will be able to measure user re-engagement with their app, not simply conversions via an app download. This means that advertisers will know when users clicked an ad and were brought to their app.
Beyond re-engagement, there does not appear to be much difference between 5.0 and 4.0. But this may not even matter for the foreseeable future given that industry adoption of 4.0 is still very much lacking. Only a handful of ad networks are significantly embracing 4.0, according to data from Singular.
“Adopting SKAdNetwork 4.0 is a complex dance between multiple parties,” said Singular’s Koetsier.
Look back: Apple’s privacy policies under fire from ad tech industry
Not only do ad networks need to change their strategies around targeting and optimization, Koetsier said, but advertisers themselves have to alter their value systems, including their understanding of which ads work and which do not.
The last week of July showed signs of increased adoption, most notably from Meta, which sourced 70% of its iOS measurement from SKAdNetwork 4.0 during this time. The rest of its measurement came from SKAdNetwork 3.0.
SKAdNetwork 5.0 is simply too far away from adoption to be considered at the moment, Koetsier said. Apple itself hardly mentioned the update at WWDC, and has not yet announced a release date.
In the meantime, advertisers continue to face issues with 4.0. This week, Singular discovered a bug in SKAdNetwork 4.0 that was altering conversion data. While not all ad networks will be affected, many likely will, and the issue could threaten to revert adoption progress, including Meta’s, said Koetsier.
The word on Apple’s own ads business
As Apple has clamped down on tracking in the name of privacy, it has steadily grown its own advertising business. The company’s U.S. revenue from advertising reached between $3 billion and $4 billion in 2021, depending on estimates, and as much as $5.3 billion in 2022. Apple does not specifically share these numbers, hence the lack of clarity.
Search Ads make up the lion’s share of Apple’s ad revenue and are projected to continue doing so in the coming years. This platform serves ads that typically appear as sponsored search results in the App Store.
There has been chatter, however, that Apple is nearing a point at which it will expand its ad inventory to include other formats. Podcasts, music and Apple TV+ apps have all been named as teeming gold mines for Apple to tap. Last year, Apple tested the waters on TV+ by bringing ads to its MLB programming. It is currently rumored to be in talks with the Pac-12, an NCAA football conference, regarding another TV+ deal, per ESPN.
Koetsier, who thinks Apple could gross billions in ad revenue from podcast opportunities alone, believes the potential windfall makes growth a no-brainer for the tech giant.
“It makes a ton of sense,” he said.
There is still plenty of uncertainty, however. Apple, notably, does not utilize 3rd-party models like SKAdNetwork for its advertising, but rather Search Ads, given that it only advertises with first-party data. If it were to spread itself too thinly over different formats and with different partners, said Kochava’s Manning, Apple could feasibly come into violation with its own anti-tracking policies.
“It is unclear how far they will go,” Manning said.